{"id":20509,"date":"2015-01-20T14:13:00","date_gmt":"2015-01-20T13:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/blog\/non-classifiee\/une-annee-electorale-cruciale-pour-la-gauche-radicale-europeenne\/"},"modified":"2023-09-27T16:00:11","modified_gmt":"2023-09-27T14:00:11","slug":"une-annee-electorale-cruciale-pour-la-gauche-radicale-europeenne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/blog\/article\/une-annee-electorale-cruciale-pour-la-gauche-radicale-europeenne\/","title":{"rendered":"Une ann\u00e9e \u00e9lectorale cruciale pour la gauche radicale europ\u00e9enne"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Plus d&#8217;un tiers de l&#8217;\u00e9lectorat de l&#8217;UE va aller aux urnes, pour des \u00e9lections normales ou des \u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es. Le premier d\u00e9fi est en Gr\u00e8ce, avec une date d\u00e9j\u00e0 fix\u00e9e, le 25 janvier. Au moins 7 autres pays vont suivre, en principe en mars (Estonie), en avril (Finlande), en mai (Royaume-Uni), en septembre (Danemark et Portugal), en octobre (Pologne), en novembre (Espagne). Plus que le simple nombre de citoyens europ\u00e9ens appel\u00e9s aux urnes, ce qui fait cependant de ces \u00e9lections un test pour cette famille de partis, ce sont leurs implications politiques. Des partis de la gauche radicale sont en t\u00eate des sondages dans 2 de ces 8 pays&nbsp;: Syriza en Gr\u00e8ce et Podemos en Espagne, un \u00e9v\u00e9nement inhabituel dans le paysage des ann\u00e9es apr\u00e8s 1970, o\u00f9 les forces communistes et de la gauche radicale ont traditionnellement \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9pass\u00e9es par les partis dominants de centre gauche et de centre droit<a class=\"sdfootnoteanc\" name=\"sdfootnote1anc\" href=\"#sdfootnote1sym\"><sup>1<\/sup><\/a>. Une victoire dans ces deux pays repr\u00e9senterait par cons\u00e9quent une seconde chance, apr\u00e8s l&#8217;\u00e9chec de l&#8217;exp\u00e9rience du minist\u00e8re Christofias \u00e0 Chypre en 2008-2013, de voir un parti de la gauche radicale europ\u00e9enne sur le point de diriger une coalition gouvernementale alternative, pouvant ainsi tester la validit\u00e9 de son programme socio-\u00e9conomique anti-n\u00e9olib\u00e9ral et la perm\u00e9abilit\u00e9 de l&#8217;Union europ\u00e9enne \u00e0 ses demandes.<\/p>\n<h5>Le calendrier \u00e9lectoral<\/h5>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm\">Les donn\u00e9es relatives aux 8 \u00e9lections \u00e0 venir sont r\u00e9sum\u00e9e dans le tableau qui suit. Globalement, la gauche radicale semble \u00eatre en situation de progresser par rapport au pic des \u00e9lections europ\u00e9ennes de 2014 et de doubler ses votes (de 7.13% \u00e0 13-15%). Les r\u00e9sultats attendus et les gains esp\u00e9r\u00e9s sont cependant distribu\u00e9s de fa\u00e7on tr\u00e8s in\u00e9gale. Les indateurs disponibles vont de l&#8217;absence de signe de vie (sous 1%) au Royaume-Uni, en Plogne et en Estonie o\u00f9 la gauche radivale est traditionnellement faible, une stabilit\u00e9 globale autour de niveaux moyens au Danemark<a class=\"sdfootnoteanc\" name=\"sdfootnote2anc\" href=\"#sdfootnote2sym\"><sup>2<\/sup><\/a>, auPortugal et en Finlande et une augmentation spectaculaire en Espagne (plus de 30%) et en Gr\u00e8ce (plus de 40%). L&#8217;attention de tous les observateurs va aux \u00e9lections grecques, une victoire de la geuche radicale pouvant avoir de s\u00e9rieuses r\u00e9percussions sur la gouvernance et les polotiques de toute l&#8217;Union europ\u00e9enne.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><b style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif; color: rgb(69, 69, 69);\">TABLEAU 1. ELECTIONS LEGISLATIVES EN 2015 (PAYS DE L&#8217;EU)<\/b><\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\" border=\"1\" bordercolor=\"#000000\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"45*\" \/>\n<col width=\"26*\" \/>\n<col width=\"34*\" \/>\n<col width=\"36*\" \/>\n<col width=\"32*\" \/>\n<col width=\"39*\" \/>\n<col width=\"44*\" \/> \t<\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"23%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>Derni\u00e8re \t\t\t\u00e9lection l\u00e9gislative<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>2014<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>Elections \t\t\teurop\u00e9ennes <\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font> \t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>Derniers \t\t\tsondages *<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>Elections \t\t\tl\u00e9gislatives \u00e0 venir en 2015<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>Tendances \t\t\tactuelles par rapport \u00e0 2010-2012<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Ann\u00e9e<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>%<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>%<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"> \t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">GRECE<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2012<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">31.85%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">33.83%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>~41.2%<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\" sdval=\"42029\" sdnum=\"1036;0;JJ\/MM\/AA\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">25\/01\/15<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">augmentation<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">ESTONIE<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2011<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">0.00%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">0.07%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>&#8211;<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\" sdval=\"42064\" sdnum=\"1036;0;JJ\/MM\/AA\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">01\/03\/15<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Stable<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">FINLANDE<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2011<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">8.56%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">9.66%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>~8.8%<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Avril<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Stable\/augmentation<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">RU<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2010<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">0.82%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">1.26%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>&#8211;<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\" sdval=\"42131\" sdnum=\"1036;0;JJ\/MM\/AA\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">07\/05\/15<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Stable<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">DANEMARK<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2011<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">16.04%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">18.99%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>~16.8%<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Septembre<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Stable\/augmentation<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">PORTUGAL<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2011<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">14.88%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">20.96%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>~14.5%<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Sep\/Oct<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Stable<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">POLOGNE<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2011<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">0.55%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">0.00%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>&#8211;<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Oct<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Baisse<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">ESPAGNE<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">2011<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">9.46%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">20.74%<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><i>~32.3%<\/i><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Nov<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">Augmentation<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>TOTAL<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>7.13%<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>12.61%<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal; font-weight: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\">MOYENNE<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"10%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>10.27%<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font size=\"3\"><b>13.19%<\/b><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p style=\"font-style: normal\"><font color=\"#454545\">&nbsp;<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm\"><font face=\"Times New Roman, serif\"><font color=\"#454545\"><font size=\"3\"><span style=\"font-style: normal\"><b style=\"font-size: 10px;\">Notes: <\/b><\/span><\/font><\/font><font color=\"#454545\"><font size=\"3\"><span style=\"font-style: normal\"><span style=\"font-weight: normal; font-size: 10px;\">* Estimations bas\u00e9es sur les derniers sondages (10.2014-1.2015).<\/span><\/span><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm\">\n<h5 style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm\"><\/h5>\n<h5 style=\"margin-bottom: 0cm\">Gr\u00e8ce, le maillon faible du n\u00e9olib\u00e9ralisme<\/h5>\n<p>En Gr\u00e8ce, le parti radical de gauche SYRIZA<a class=\"sdfootnoteanc\" name=\"sdfootnote3anc\" href=\"#sdfootnote3sym\"><sup>3<\/sup><\/a>, qui en 2012 est pass\u00e9 de fa\u00e7on soudaine d&#8217;une petite coalition de fractions en la principale force d&#8217;opposition du pays, chercher \u00e0 consolider son avance sur la Nouvelle d\u00e9mocratie conservatrice de Samara et de gagner une majotit\u00e9 parlementaire avec son programme de changement anti-n\u00e9olib\u00e9ral (voir le tableau 2).<br \/>\nTABLE 2. ELECTIONS GRECQUESELECTIONS<\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\" border=\"1\" bordercolor=\"#000000\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"37*\" \/>\n<col width=\"34*\" \/>\n<col width=\"34*\" \/>\n<col width=\"34*\" \/>\n<col width=\"34*\" \/>\n<col width=\"45*\" \/>\n<col width=\"39*\" \/> \t<\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p> \t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>2007<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>2009<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\" sdval=\"2012\" sdnum=\"1036;\">\n<p>2012<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\" sdval=\"2012\" sdnum=\"1036;\">\n<p>2012<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>Europ\u00e9ennes 2014<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>Derniers Sondages *<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>Votes exprim\u00e9s<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>72.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>69.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>63.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>61.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>57.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>Gauche radicale \t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>13.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>12.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>26.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>31.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>33.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>41.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>SYRIZA<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>5.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>4.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>16.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>26.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>26.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>35.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>KKE<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>8.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>7.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>8.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>4.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>6.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>5.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>Autres<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>0.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>0.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>1.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>1.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>0.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>PASOK<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>38.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>43.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>13.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>12.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>8.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>4.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>ND<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>41.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>33.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>18.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>29.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>22.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>31.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>Aube Dor\u00e9e<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>0.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>7.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>6.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>9.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>5.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>OTHERS<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>6.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>9.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>34.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>19.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>26.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>16.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"14%\">\n<p>TOTAL<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"13%\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"17%\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"15%\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-size: 10px;\">Notes: * estimations bas\u00e9es sur les derniers sondages (1.2015).<\/p>\n<p>A premi\u00e8re vue, les derniers sondages sugg\u00e8rent une marge stable et relativement claire de 2 \u00e0 6%. Le politiste Gerassimos Moschonas observe que l&#8217;opinion publique grecque oscille entre des sentiments contradictoires&nbsp;: espoir, col\u00e8re et peur. Le premier ministre Antonis Samaras actuel, en particulier, esp\u00e8re r\u00e9ussir un retour surprise en capitalisant sur la peur d&#8217;un saut dans l&#8217;inconnu et de repr\u00e9sailles des march\u00e9s financiers et des partenaires europ\u00e9ens. Par ailleurs, l&#8217;avantage non n\u00e9gligeable attribu\u00e9 par la loi \u00e9lectorale (50 si\u00e8ges sur 300) au parti arriv\u00e9 en t\u00eate, rend possible la formation d&#8217;une majorit\u00e9 parlementaire avec seulement 35 \u00e0 38% des suffrages exprim\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<h5>Les autres pays<\/h5>\n<p>Dans les autres pays, les r\u00e9sultats de la gauche radicale devraient rester stables, avec une exception majeure&nbsp;: l&#8217;Espagne. L\u00e0, les sondages indiquent une mont\u00e9e nette de la gauche radicale, actuellement et clairement la premi\u00e8re famille de partis du pays. Le principal b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaire n&#8217;est cependant pas une composante traditionnelle de la gauche espagnole, tr\u00e8s fragment\u00e9e (les composantes de l&#8217;alliance IU, des groupes r\u00e9gionalistes radicaux, de petits groupes d&#8217;extr\u00eame gauche) mais une organisation totalement nouvelle, PODEMOS. Le parti, cr\u00e9\u00e9 en janvier 2014 par la fusion d&#8217;un groupe d&#8217;intellectuels de gauche autour de Pablo Iglesias et de l&#8217;organisation d&#8217;extr\u00eame gauche Izquierda Anticapitalista, a \u00e9tonn\u00e9 en gagnant 8.2% des voix aux \u00e9lections europ\u00e9ennes de 2014 en mai pour atteindre rapidement 20% des intentions de vote, rivalisant avec le PP pour la premi\u00e8re place. Ces \u00e9v\u00e9nements vont probablement conduire \u00e0 un blocage du syst\u00e8me politique, d\u00e9j\u00e0 affaibli par une s\u00e9rie de scandales de corruption et la mont\u00e9e de l&#8217;ind\u00e9pendantisme catalan (et basque)<br \/>\nTABLE 3. ELECTIONS ESPAGNOLES<\/p>\n<table width=\"826\" border=\"1\" bordercolor=\"#000000\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"186\" \/>\n<col width=\"109\" \/>\n<col width=\"143\" \/>\n<col width=\"143\" \/>\n<col width=\"142\" \/> \t<\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>2008<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>2011<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>Europ\u00e9ennes 2014<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>Derniers sondages *<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>SUFFRAGES EXPRIM\u00c9S<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>72.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>67.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>42.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>GAUCHE RADICALE<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>4.9%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>9.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>20.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>32.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>IU + alli\u00e9s<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>3.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>7.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>10.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>4.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>PODEMOS<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>8.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>25.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>R\u00e9gionalistes radicaux<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>1.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>2.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>2.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>2.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>Autres<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>0.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>0.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>0.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>PSOE<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>44.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>29.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>23.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>20.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>PP<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>40.4%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>44.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>26.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>25.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>PRINCIPAUX REGIONALISTES<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>6.1%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>7.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>9.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>6.7%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>AUTRES<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>4.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>9.3%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>19.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>14.8%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"186\">\n<p>TOTAL<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"143\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"142\">\n<p>100.0%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-size: 10px;\">Notes: * estimates based on the latest opinion polls (12.2014-1.2015).<\/p>\n<h5><\/h5>\n<h5>Conclusion<\/h5>\n<p>L&#8217;avenir de la gauche radicale en Europe repose maintenant clairement sur la victoire de SYRIZA samedi et sur les r\u00e9sultats concrets de l&#8217;exp\u00e9rience gouvernementale qui va poursuivre. Un succ\u00e8s mod\u00e9r\u00e9 dans la sortie de l&#8217;aust\u00e9rit\u00e9 et le retour de la croissance et de l&#8217;Etat-providence peuvent encourager la gauche radicale dans toute la p\u00e9riph\u00e9rie europ\u00e9enne&nbsp;: PODEMOS en Espagne, le Sinn F\u00e9in in Irlande, ZD en Slov\u00e9nie, PCP et BE au Portugal, et m\u00eame la sc\u00e8ne italienne pourtant troubl\u00e9e. Un \u00e9chec, cependant, pourrait avoir des cons\u00e9quences d\u00e9vastatrices sur la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 d&#8217;une alternative au n\u00e9olib\u00e9ralisme. Dans les deux cas, la capacit\u00e9 de la gauche radicale dans les pays du c\u0153ur du continent (Allemagne, France, Pays-Bas\u2026 ) \u00e0 trouver une voie pour briser le plafond de verre qui la maintient \u00e0 13% des suffrages exprim\u00e9s et \u00e0 devenir vraiment cr\u00e9dible \u00e0 la fois contre les partis dominants et une dangereuse extr\u00eame droite, sera cruciale.<br \/>\n<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">Notes<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"sdfootnote1\">\n<p class=\"sdfootnote\"><a class=\"sdfootnotesym\" name=\"sdfootnote1sym\" href=\"#sdfootnote1anc\">1<\/a>&nbsp;Avec \tla seule exception de Chypre, o\u00f9 l&#8217;AKEL communiste a tours \u00e9t\u00e9 le \tpremier ou le deuxi\u00e8me parti du pays (2001-2011). Voir DUNPHY, R. &amp; \tBALE, T. (2007) \u201cRed flag still flying ? Explaining AKEL \u2013 \tCyprus\u2019 Communist anomaly\u201d, Party Politics, 13(3): 287-304.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"sdfootnote2\">\n<p class=\"sdfootnote\"><a class=\"sdfootnotesym\" name=\"sdfootnote2sym\" href=\"#sdfootnote2anc\">2<\/a>&nbsp;Les \tchiffres incluent la gauche rouge et verte radicale (E) et le parti \tsocialiste du peuple, plus mod\u00e9r\u00e9. Certains auteurs consid\u00e8rent \tmaintenant que ce dernier a quitt\u00e9 la famille de la gauche \tradicale. Le premier est en train de monter dans les sondages \t(autour de 9-11%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"sdfootnote3\">\n<p class=\"sdfootnote\"><a class=\"sdfootnotesym\" name=\"sdfootnote3sym\" href=\"#sdfootnote3anc\">3<\/a>&nbsp;Voir \tDINAS, E. &amp; RORI, L. (2013) \u201cThe 2012 Greek parliamentary \telections: fear and loathing at the polls\u201d, West European \tPolitics, 36(1): 270-281; SPOURDALAKIS, M. (2014) \u201cThe miraculous \trise of the \u2018phenomenon SYRIZA\u2019\u201d, International Critical \tThought, 4(3): 354-366; KARITZIS, A. (2014) \u201cWhat is SYRIZA and \twhat it isn\u2019t?\u201d, \thttp:\/\/www.transform-network.net\/en\/blog\/blog-2014\/news\/detail\/Blog\/-b60c39c253.html<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La gauche radicale europ\u00e9enne va faire face en 2015 au cycle \u00e9lectoral le plus important de son histoire r\u00e9cente.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article","person-paolo-chiocchetti-fr"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20509"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20509\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26824,"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20509\/revisions\/26824"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wwwdev-transform-network-net.sociality.gr\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}